PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf395F75926BBa993c08C4f9fB7Df84c11C952ffb-1771764397731

0xf395f75926bba993c08c4f9fb7df84c11c952ffb

Realised P&L
$-4.37
Volume
$594.48
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$18.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.6000.775$1.29+$0.29
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.7500.820$1.09+$0.09
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.845$1.04+$0.04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.9400.965$1.03+$0.03
Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15? · No0.8200.835$1.02+$0.02
Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026? · No0.9480.963$1.02+$0.02
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026? · No0.9000.905$1.01+$0.01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.956$1.00−$0.00
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · No0.9200.915$0.99−$0.01
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? · No0.9300.920$0.99−$0.01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.9500.935$0.98−$0.02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.8000.785$0.98−$0.02
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31? · No0.9400.915$0.97−$0.03
Clavicular in jail by October 31? · No0.9100.885$0.97−$0.03
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.1000.095$0.95−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 10:00Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.94999962$1.00
09-24 09:56Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
09-24 09:54Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-24 09:50Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9599996928$1.00
09-24 09:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.8$1.00
09-24 09:42Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8099999352$1.00
09-24 09:41EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-24 09:40Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?BUY0.9299998419$1.00
09-24 09:39US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-24 09:33Clavicular in jail by October 31?BUY0.9099992538$1.00
09-24 09:29Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9$1.00
09-24 08:22Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
09-24 08:18Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9479993895$1.00
09-24 08:16US x China tariff agreement by October 31?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-24 08:13Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?BUY0.9199995952$1.00