0xf395F75926BBa993c08C4f9fB7Df84c11C952ffb-1771764397731
0xf395f75926bba993c08c4f9fb7df84c11c952ffb
- Realised P&L
- $-4.37
- Volume
- $594.48
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $18.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.06at 0.180Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.44at 0.460US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$0.20at 0.830Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?
- +$-1.00at 0.110US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$-1.00at 0.300Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 10:00 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.94999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:56 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:54 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:50 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:42 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:41 | EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:40 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:39 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:33 | Clavicular in jail by October 31? | BUY | 0.9099992538 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:29 | Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 08:22 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 08:18 | Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9479993895 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 08:16 | US x China tariff agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 08:13 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | BUY | 0.9199995952 | $1.00 |