Bakuskyvs
0xf3618ba9f63638ab77e85553c67dbb9aaeba783a
- Realised P&L
- $10.4k
- Volume
- $347.1k
- Markets traded
- 493
- Open portfolio
- $952.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded493
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.420Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?
- +$571.80at 0.900Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 30?
- +$486.00at 0.700Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 21?
- +$388.93at 0.642Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 15?
- +$367.85at 0.879Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:47 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $989.82 |
| 10-01 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.78 | $19.41 |
| 10-01 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.8242317999 | $36.91 |
| 10-01 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 10-01 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $610.95 |
| 10-01 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9697465444 | $358.51 |
| 10-01 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.69 |
| 10-01 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $298.54 |
| 10-01 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $786.83 |
| 10-01 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.68 | $21.33 |
| 10-01 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.78 |
| 10-01 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.6548669202 | $13.78 |
| 10-01 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.6418346957 | $21.20 |
| 10-01 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.57 | $8.99 |
| 10-01 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.757177814 | $41.77 |