PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF31a21285C47CEF6ddedd3404f805106D9221838-1783205488183

0xf31a21285c47cef6ddedd3404f805106d9221838

Realised P&L
$6.84
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$55.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? · No0.8000.915$17.16+$2.16
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes0.5200.745$12.32+$3.72
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.8320.831$4.99$0.01
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? · No0.7200.995$4.84+$1.34
Natural Disaster in 2026? · No0.8800.795$4.52$0.48
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? · No0.9400.955$3.05+$0.05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8800.865$2.88$0.05
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5000.285$2.85$2.15
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? · Yes0.1400.075$1.65$1.43
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? · No0.9400.999$1.06+$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 03:02US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?SELL0.1$3.33
09-14 02:36US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.879999976$2.93
09-14 02:29US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?BUY0.149999997$5.00
09-14 02:16Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?BUY0.939999812$3.00
09-09 18:24Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?BUY0.7199999589$3.50
09-09 18:19Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.8319999148$5.00
09-09 18:19Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?BUY0.8$15.00
09-09 16:25Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.5199999942$3.60
09-09 16:24GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5$5.00
09-09 16:23Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?BUY0.9909999993$11.00
09-09 16:23Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
09-09 16:22Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.5199999792$5.00
09-09 16:06Natural Disaster in 2026?BUY0.8799998733$5.00
09-09 16:06Natural Disaster in 2026?SELL0.1226675349$10.36
09-09 16:05Natural Disaster in 2026?BUY0.1420645125$12.00