EconomistOx
0xf2a3aee3e288d216c69c9c3d956ac75e1bb88a8d
- Realised P&L
- $482.38
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.94at 0.732Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$72.66at 0.797Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$47.41at 0.841Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$44.41at 0.682Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$22.86at 0.965Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:13 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? | BUY | 0.9219999974 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:13 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.4599999968 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 19:13 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.39 |
| 08-02 08:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.9739999929 | $77.00 |
| 07-27 15:25 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9799999961 | $60.00 |
| 07-26 20:41 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.956 | $40.00 |
| 07-26 20:41 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.7819999698 | $20.00 |
| 07-26 20:39 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9350638137 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 20:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $170.69 |
| 07-16 21:34 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.2871286736 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 21:33 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.8829999915 | $30.00 |
| 07-16 21:30 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 21:30 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.849999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 21:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $40.00 |
| 07-16 21:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $56.67 |