EconomistOx
0xf2a3aee3e288d216c69c9c3d956ac75e1bb88a8d
- Realised P&L
- $710.60
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.94at 0.732Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$72.66at 0.797Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$52.01at 0.860Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$47.41at 0.841Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$44.41at 0.682Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:17 | Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? | BUY | 0.4574170669 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 20:17 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | SELL | 0.4484124245 | $20.79 |
| 09-17 08:15 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.9389999991 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 18:57 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.66 | $14.83 |
| 09-11 18:25 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9 | $47.00 |
| 09-11 14:59 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | SELL | 0.6453333333 | $48.40 |
| 09-11 09:03 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.855630579 | $60.00 |
| 09-11 09:02 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $23.93 |
| 09-11 09:02 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.8 | $60.79 |
| 09-11 09:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.981 | $24.52 |
| 09-11 08:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.9199999929 | $83.00 |
| 09-06 20:58 | Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | SELL | 0.67 | $21.15 |
| 08-29 14:38 | Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or SPD? | BUY | 0.9 | $48.00 |
| 08-29 14:37 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.996 | $47.84 |
| 08-28 10:07 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999935 | $8.00 |