0xf278A463B5666Fd953Bc1F57302095003F3AA69d-1773426959522
0xf278a463b5666fd953bc1f57302095003f3aa69d
- Realised P&L
- $-306.23
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $91.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.24at 0.458Oscars Bingo
- +$15.21at 0.532Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$12.34at 0.591Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$2.71at 0.610Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?
- +$1.55at 0.500Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-01 04:52 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.23 |
| 03-31 23:53 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.31 |
| 03-31 23:53 | Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | SELL | 0.727 | $0.28 |
| 03-31 23:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.27 |
| 03-31 23:52 | US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.27 |
| 03-31 18:46 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.54 |
| 03-31 18:29 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 03-29 15:46 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.82 |
| 03-29 15:45 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.057 | $0.92 |
| 03-29 15:45 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0652736077 | $2.70 |
| 03-29 15:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0763145119 | $2.89 |
| 03-29 15:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.075 | $2.84 |
| 03-29 15:15 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.0488926056 | $2.78 |
| 03-29 15:14 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.065 | $0.70 |
| 03-29 14:44 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.065 | $0.70 |