pupsikato
0xf268ad77b9e8371948b68c5b33801ddb12c629d2
- Realised P&L
- $-122.94
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $721.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.961 | 0.981 | $404.15 | +$8.04 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.919 | 0.958 | $306.40 | +$12.32 |
| Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.045 | $7.74 | −$94.27 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.045 | $3.50 | −$6.50 |
| Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.304 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$42.53 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-04 22:10 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9579999995 | $50.00 |
| 01-24 14:51 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 01-24 14:51 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |