PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

degendi

0xf24575c96cf60db5fa299c6c9d4e0518358f1df4

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$321.2k
Markets traded
693
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded693
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7260.765$382.50+$19.50
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · No0.9300.930$186.00+$0.00
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8450.875$174.99+$6.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.835$167.01+$1.00
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.6730.815$140.89+$24.48
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6000.595$119.00$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5360.565$101.62+$5.13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5100.495$99.00$3.00
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.8200.815$85.58$0.53
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No0.6700.755$77.26+$8.67
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · No0.6600.685$61.65+$2.25
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3430.250$60.00$22.40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3680.335$53.60$5.30
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.5420.525$53.02$1.71
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · Yes0.3740.345$51.75$4.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 14:51Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELL0.1205$12.05
09-17 11:41Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6$120.00
09-17 07:57Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?SELL0.276$27.60
09-17 04:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?SELL0.0872$8.72
09-17 04:44Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.05$5.00
09-16 12:01Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.79$189.59
09-16 12:01Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.27$40.50
09-16 11:18Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.82$4.10
09-16 07:22Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.15$39.00
09-15 18:55Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$30.00
09-15 18:55Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.46$46.00
09-15 18:55Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.39$17.55
09-15 18:54Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.17$22.10
09-15 09:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?SELL0.736$55.22
09-14 20:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.943$621.72