degendi
0xf24575c96cf60db5fa299c6c9d4e0518358f1df4
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $321.2k
- Markets traded
- 693
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded693
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$729.93at 0.062Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
- +$212.28at 0.031France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
- +$194.21at 0.019LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$192.40at 0.142US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$178.60at 0.500Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:51 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | SELL | 0.1205 | $12.05 |
| 09-17 11:41 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6 | $120.00 |
| 09-17 07:57 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.276 | $27.60 |
| 09-17 04:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | SELL | 0.0872 | $8.72 |
| 09-17 04:44 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 12:01 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $189.59 |
| 09-16 12:01 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $40.50 |
| 09-16 11:18 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 09-16 07:22 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $39.00 |
| 09-15 18:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 18:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 09-15 18:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $17.55 |
| 09-15 18:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $22.10 |
| 09-15 09:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | SELL | 0.736 | $55.22 |
| 09-14 20:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.943 | $621.72 |