jk96
0xf1c4aeb3429c8e0b01c82ee6fec7f0dbcdc7f745
- Realised P&L
- $48.64
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $21.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.82at 0.104GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
- +$18.35at 0.144Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$11.67at 0.300Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
- +$11.23at 0.288GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
- +$9.76at 0.170Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 06:52 | Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 06:52 | Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399999627 | $3.00 |
| 06-09 16:51 | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.40 |
| 06-08 12:45 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | SELL | 0.21 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 11:34 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? | BUY | 0.155999969 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 06:38 | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | BUY | 0.4101962839 | $5.00 |
| 06-06 19:32 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.66 |
| 06-06 19:23 | Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0780000015 | $4.61 |
| 06-06 19:17 | Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | BUY | 0.0309999941 | $5.00 |
| 06-06 19:07 | Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.045999979 | $2.00 |
| 06-06 19:03 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0322519423 | $5.00 |
| 06-06 19:01 | GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $16.42 |
| 06-04 07:30 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0842974956 | $3.00 |
| 06-04 07:25 | GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 07:16 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |