PolyBot

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Traders

jk96

0xf1c4aeb3429c8e0b01c82ee6fec7f0dbcdc7f745

Realised P&L
$48.64
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$21.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3050.373$6.12+$1.12
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? · Yes0.0310.035$5.65+$0.65
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? · Yes0.1370.081$2.94−$2.06
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0320.017$2.64−$2.36
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2200.095$2.16−$2.84
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1780.048$1.35−$3.65
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.004$0.78−$1.22
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? · No0.0840.000$0.00−$3.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00−$5.00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$2.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 3? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Solana reach $90 in June? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 06:52Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY0.269999937$3.00
06-10 06:52Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.1399999627$3.00
06-09 16:51Israel closes its airspace by June 9?SELL0.033$0.40
06-08 12:45US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?SELL0.21$5.00
06-08 11:34Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?BUY0.155999969$5.00
06-08 06:38Israel closes its airspace by June 9?BUY0.4101962839$5.00
06-06 19:32Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?SELL0.56$11.66
06-06 19:23Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?BUY0.0780000015$4.61
06-06 19:17Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?BUY0.0309999941$5.00
06-06 19:07Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.045999979$2.00
06-06 19:03Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.0322519423$5.00
06-06 19:01GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?SELL0.92$16.42
06-04 07:30Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?BUY0.0842974956$3.00
06-04 07:25GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
06-04 07:16US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?BUY0.209999974$5.00