Grocerystore.
0xf1a4be25118030418d1b389c88c1525041a7527c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.7k
- Volume
- $704.5k
- Markets traded
- 826
- Open portfolio
- $457.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded826
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$919.51at 0.161Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$829.72at 0.936US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
- +$658.14at 0.296Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
- +$644.33at 0.050Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 20?
- +$446.55at 0.434US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 09:39 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 11-01 09:38 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.031 | $3.10 |
| 10-31 17:03 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 20:43 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9299999994 | $280.00 |
| 10-26 18:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9149999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-19 15:19 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.881 | $88.10 |
| 10-19 06:56 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 10-17 06:52 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $7.50 |
| 10-17 06:52 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $4.49 |
| 10-02 21:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 21:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 21:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 21:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999996 | $25.00 |
| 10-02 21:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $25.00 |
| 10-02 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |