PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Grocerystore.

0xf1a4be25118030418d1b389c88c1525041a7527c

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$681.9k
Markets traded
796
Open portfolio
$776.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded796
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.4790.385$409.45$100.14
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? · No0.2340.310$86.13+$21.24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5360.585$79.53+$6.60
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.405$41.26+$2.59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2150.145$28.08$13.63
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5600.645$19.35+$2.55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2270.105$15.75$18.25
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.2080.220$15.10+$0.83
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3470.335$10.42$0.38
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.7500.960$9.60+$2.10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2080.095$9.50$11.30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.335$7.59$0.34
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · No0.6200.655$6.55+$0.35
Clavicular sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1600.130$6.50$1.50
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5100.745$3.80+$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:13Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.2$5.00
08-02 14:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.57$25.83
08-02 14:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.57$34.44
08-01 14:35Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?SELL0.83$49.75
07-30 10:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.07$3.19
07-29 13:06US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.47$4.70
07-28 15:20US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.37$50.69
07-27 15:00Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.54$27.00
07-27 11:03US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.41$12.30
07-24 18:47US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.39$19.69
07-24 18:13US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.38$30.40
07-24 17:44Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?SELL0.036$1.33
07-24 15:46Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.36$7.35
07-24 05:36Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?SELL0.06$0.91
07-24 05:32US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.05$9.46