PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Grocerystore.

0xf1a4be25118030418d1b389c88c1525041a7527c

Realised P&L
$-4.7k
Volume
$704.5k
Markets traded
826
Open portfolio
$457.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded826
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 09:39Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?SELL0.03$0.60
11-01 09:38US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?SELL0.031$3.10
10-31 17:03Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26?BUY0.699999965$2.00
10-29 20:43Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9299999994$280.00
10-26 18:18Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.9149999999$200.00
10-19 15:19Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.881$88.10
10-19 06:56Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.93$93.00
10-17 06:52Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$7.50
10-17 06:52US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.88$4.49
10-02 21:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
10-02 21:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.0899999993$5.00
10-02 21:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.1$5.00
10-02 21:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.1099999996$25.00
10-02 21:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.0699999998$25.00
10-02 21:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.2$5.00