PolyBot

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Traders

0xf15ce80e309b1e83c4c00c30e2e9ef2d857478cc

0xf15ce80e309b1e83c4c00c30e2e9ef2d857478cc

Realised P&L
$33.20
Volume
$65.5k
Markets traded
186
Open portfolio
$259.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded186
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? · Yes0.9540.940$98.04−$1.46
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9270.920$59.27−$0.43
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · No0.8200.815$39.54−$0.24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes0.9500.988$33.31+$1.26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.8000.795$19.78−$0.12
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1200.115$9.53−$0.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 07:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?BUY0.95$19.90
10-15 07:38Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?BUY0.95$19.90
10-15 02:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?BUY0.95$19.90
10-15 02:07Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?BUY0.9599999846$19.90
10-15 01:31US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8$19.90
10-15 01:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?BUY0.9599999846$19.90
10-14 20:24Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999972$19.90
10-14 20:23Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999972$19.90
10-14 17:49Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999908$19.90
10-14 16:53Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.33$183.33
10-14 09:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?SELL0.989$0.09
10-14 08:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?SELL0.987$6.53
10-14 07:06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?SELL0.986$1.43
10-10 20:06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.9509999988$19.90
10-10 19:57Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.95$19.90