PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf149b1902073111368679abc4975c6bf01f6cc8a

0xf149b1902073111368679abc4975c6bf01f6cc8a

Realised P&L
$-74.37
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$510.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration97.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)7.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Geneviève Hébert win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election? · No0.7700.695$34.75−$3.75
Will Esperidião Amin win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? · No0.7600.655$32.75−$5.25
Will Captain America (Sam Wilson) die in Avengers: Doomsday? · No0.6900.535$26.75−$7.75
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · No0.4800.390$19.50−$4.50
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · No0.6100.485$19.40−$5.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · No0.5000.460$18.40−$1.60
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5900.570$17.10−$0.60
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September? · No0.6300.545$16.35−$2.55
Will Gavin Williams strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.8000.790$14.04−$0.18
Will Indiana be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? · No0.7500.680$13.60−$1.40
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026? · No0.6900.630$12.60−$1.20
Will Sønderjyske be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga? · No0.7400.620$12.40−$2.40
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18? · No0.7100.600$12.00−$2.20
Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? · No0.6320.537$10.74−$1.90
Will "Blue" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 28? · No0.5000.345$10.35−$4.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 12:32Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in September?SELL0.74$8.88