EndInv
0xf149a494e3309e76a0543cbb019cb41357c5df77
- Realised P&L
- $-27.42
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 392
- Open portfolio
- $18.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded392
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.80at 0.340Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?
- +$5.62at 0.151Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
- +$4.56at 0.180Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
- +$3.50at 0.222Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
- +$3.44at 0.225Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 16:14 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | BUY | 0.58 | $10.44 |
| 07-03 10:26 | Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 20:39 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.57 |
| 06-17 18:02 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 16:25 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 15:30 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.99799901 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 12:21 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.161 | $1.04 |
| 06-16 11:16 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1539998814 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 18:32 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.839 | $1.10 |
| 06-15 18:12 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7589998497 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 18:12 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.59 |
| 06-06 09:04 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.9609996723 | $1.00 |
| 06-06 09:04 | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.105 | $0.27 |
| 06-06 09:04 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.33 |
| 06-04 08:33 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |