PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Dmalka

0xf0575f0dda3b9405e45a93419dc8bcd3ad586ec2

Realised P&L
$-123.59
Volume
$23.1k
Markets traded
331
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded331
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · No0.7800.855$391.96+$34.19
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8920.979$348.98+$30.97
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6100.425$327.46$142.54
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.7600.845$232.45+$23.35
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.9030.915$94.16+$1.18
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6390.765$65.59+$10.80
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No0.6700.845$44.34+$9.18
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8150.000$0.00$10.00
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$2.00
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · No0.3100.000$0.00$14.17
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1750.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down0.6360.000$0.00$8.41
Will James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$5.00
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00$3.50
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 13:54Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?SELL0.4280022371$47.83
08-28 11:19Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?SELL0.968$107.87
08-28 10:37Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?BUY0.8948210349$100.00
08-27 16:19Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.8199999984$50.00
08-27 14:03Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?BUY0.6$40.00
08-27 14:02Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 40 million views on day 1?BUY0.7860696496$40.00
08-20 12:54Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?BUY0.6699999987$30.00
08-19 23:10US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.985$61.71
08-17 12:30US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.870999997$30.00
08-17 10:51US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.7089999721$20.00
08-16 11:09Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?BUY0.94$200.00
08-13 15:54Will Alfredo Gaspar be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?SELL0.9570871503$208.33
08-13 13:37US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.9636534773$270.00
08-13 13:32Brazil bans Discord by August 15, 2026?BUY0.9739921615$230.00
08-13 13:31Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?SELL0.9938366482$450.22