KNOI
0xef8a93ea2cf3a2937d551dc32271b8060fcefd72
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $28.0k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $396.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.700 | $348.94 | +$94.71 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.085 | $42.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.055 | $5.50 | −$13.50 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No | 0.647 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$129.46 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? · Yes | 0.679 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.91 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$132.24 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$138.00at 0.860US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
- +$54.72at 0.730JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
- +$20.00at 0.800US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
- +$6.00at 0.250US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$3.71at 0.983US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 17:34 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | BUY | 0.67919992 | $67.91 |
| 05-27 05:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $3.19 |
| 05-21 03:44 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | SELL | 0.0203978998 | $13.03 |
| 05-19 14:28 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.039124396 | $50.00 |
| 05-13 17:06 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | SELL | 0.45695555 | $182.78 |
| 05-11 14:36 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? | BUY | 0.0173159567 | $100.00 |
| 05-07 13:32 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | BUY | 0.655 | $65.50 |
| 05-07 13:31 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | BUY | 0.654 | $65.40 |
| 05-07 13:29 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | SELL | 0.055 | $6.88 |
| 05-07 13:20 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.214944 | $53.74 |
| 04-30 11:32 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | SELL | 0.635 | $15.24 |
| 04-24 06:02 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.97 |
| 04-24 01:28 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $66.26 |
| 04-24 00:31 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $998.00 |
| 04-24 00:16 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | SELL | 0.1653 | $82.65 |