PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xef6527b902fb9179fdf3fbe13858e5b5c6d07249

Realised P&L
$-148.37
Volume
$16.0k
Markets traded
805
Open portfolio
$699.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded805
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3110.825$39.16+$24.38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7820.835$26.49+$1.69
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3831.000$25.35+$15.63
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.5971.000$24.69+$9.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5740.875$22.57+$7.77
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4210.825$19.27+$9.44
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.945$17.41+$2.49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2010.165$15.83$3.45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.5820.875$14.91+$4.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6780.935$13.57+$3.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? · No0.3961.000$12.07+$7.29
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7820.954$11.92+$2.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7810.935$11.89+$1.96
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.8110.961$11.62+$1.81
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · No0.8501.000$11.62+$1.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 08:30US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?BUY0.8299999983$4.99
08-25 11:45US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?BUY0.94$4.99
08-25 09:45US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9389999893$4.99
08-25 08:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.94$4.99
08-25 08:15US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$4.99
08-25 08:15Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.7099999655$4.94
08-24 10:30China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.3299999583$4.99
08-23 13:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.6899999627$4.99
08-22 22:30Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3099999576$4.82
08-22 08:28Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8110057041$45.50
08-16 18:30Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel CerundoloBUY0.7899999696$4.94
08-16 17:30Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.5$4.87
08-16 17:30Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5BUY0.5$4.87
08-16 17:15Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.2699999714$4.81
08-16 17:15Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-16?BUY0.7199999825$4.93