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Traders

wagmiser

0xef6278f3e13d4a516fbb14b0d7ad2649ce990179

Realised P&L
$-7.4k
Volume
$671.5k
Markets traded
240
Open portfolio
$10.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded240
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8810.857$2.6k$73.48
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6160.545$1.9k$246.46
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5900.605$1.3k+$33.05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9650.963$1.1k$2.85
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8180.915$671.02+$71.02
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.75T in 2026? · No0.9110.935$577.02+$14.83
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9720.975$477.23+$1.38
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? · No0.9720.991$426.74+$8.04
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 4T in 2026? · No0.9400.964$336.29+$8.37
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.5T in 2026? · No0.8300.905$267.74+$22.19
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8400.915$259.71+$21.29
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.895$179.00+$3.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.5400.135$2.93$8.80
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by August 31? · Yes0.0600.043$0.85$0.35
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June? · No0.8780.000$0.00$475.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 18:11Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?SELL0.07$63.00
08-08 18:11Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?SELL0.06$42.00
08-08 18:11Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?SELL0.04$39.31
08-08 15:48Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?BUY0.07$7.00
08-07 16:57Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.5299999995$200.00
08-07 04:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.47$23.50
08-06 21:39Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.43$243.70
08-06 16:24Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.4027377522$34.94
08-06 04:40Grok 4.6 released by August 7, 2026?SELL0.13$36.99
08-06 00:00Grok 4.6 released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
08-05 23:59Grok 4.6 released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8599999959$100.00
08-05 17:59Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.895$35.80
08-05 17:58Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.89$35.60
08-05 17:53Grok 4.6 released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.2$8.00
08-05 17:41Grok 4.6 released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.14$4.90