PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

knnd2

0xef08c28569c668eca6323c050dd4236daa26e9ad

Realised P&L
$-118.16
Volume
$23.7k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$13.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8800.966$6.58+$0.58
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week? · Yes0.5610.275$5.50−$5.72
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · No0.9900.945$1.91−$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 06:11Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song this week?SELL0.22$4.40
09-28 06:09US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5370535$107.41
09-28 06:01Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.339$16.95
09-28 05:49US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.03260645$6.52
09-28 05:39Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.311$2.26
09-28 04:55US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.034$6.80
09-28 04:41Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?SELL0.1773196$17.73
09-28 01:17Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.346392$34.64
09-28 01:15Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?SELL0.7735903771$29.74
09-28 01:02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.97$180.79
09-28 00:27Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?SELL0.955$95.50
09-27 23:58Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.179$10.38
09-27 23:40Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.2351$23.51
09-27 22:54Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?SELL0.256943$25.69
09-27 22:15Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?SELL0.941$188.20