knnd2
0xef08c28569c668eca6323c050dd4236daa26e9ad
- Realised P&L
- $-118.16
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $13.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.966 | $6.58 | +$0.58 |
| Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week? · Yes | 0.561 | 0.275 | $5.50 | −$5.72 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · No | 0.990 | 0.945 | $1.91 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.13at 0.640Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
- +$1.03at 0.660Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$0.87at 0.775Raptors vs. Cavaliers
- +$0.86at 0.700Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$500 in 2025?
- +$0.75at 0.800Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 06:11 | Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song this week? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 09-28 06:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5370535 | $107.41 |
| 09-28 06:01 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.339 | $16.95 |
| 09-28 05:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.03260645 | $6.52 |
| 09-28 05:39 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.311 | $2.26 |
| 09-28 04:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $6.80 |
| 09-28 04:41 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.1773196 | $17.73 |
| 09-28 01:17 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.346392 | $34.64 |
| 09-28 01:15 | Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco? | SELL | 0.7735903771 | $29.74 |
| 09-28 01:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.97 | $180.79 |
| 09-28 00:27 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | SELL | 0.955 | $95.50 |
| 09-27 23:58 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.179 | $10.38 |
| 09-27 23:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2351 | $23.51 |
| 09-27 22:54 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.256943 | $25.69 |
| 09-27 22:15 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.941 | $188.20 |