0xeefaf8624450af4e516478a5756aad3b11ec7a5a
0xeefaf8624450af4e516478a5756aad3b11ec7a5a
- Realised P&L
- $-225.30
- Volume
- $34.8k
- Markets traded
- 4,160
- Open portfolio
- $68.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,160
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: LSU (-8.5) · LSU | 0.500 | 1.000 | $8.00 | +$4.00 |
| Spread: Fresno State (-12.5) · Rice | 0.520 | 0.850 | $6.54 | +$2.54 |
| Spread: 49ers (-8.5) · Cardinals | 0.540 | 0.545 | $4.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.515 | $3.96 | −$0.04 |
| Eagles vs. Bears · Eagles | 0.650 | 0.635 | $3.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.152 | $3.27 | −$1.72 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) · Seahawks | 0.510 | 0.515 | $3.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.440 | 0.565 | $2.57 | +$0.57 |
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) · Steelers | 0.420 | 0.435 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-10.5) · Dolphins | 0.510 | 0.525 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
| Spread: Bengals (-3.5) · Steelers | 0.520 | 0.535 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.395 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Spread: Ravens (-2.5) · Cowboys | 0.420 | 0.425 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| Spread: Ravens (-4.5) · Cowboys | 0.560 | 0.555 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Plymouth Argyle FC win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.475 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.54at 0.320Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$23.15at 0.211UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$15.94at 0.277Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
- +$15.86at 0.207UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$15.74at 0.370Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 02:22 | Will Plymouth Argyle FC win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 02:22 | Spread: Forest Green Rovers FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 02:19 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:19 | Will Armenia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:18 | Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 02:17 | Spread: Denmark (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:17 | Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:15 | Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:15 | Will Estonia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:14 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 01:33 | Spread: Fresno State (-12.5) | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 01:30 | Spread: Fresno State (-12.5) | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 01:30 | Spread: Fresno State (-12.5) | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 00:05 | Spread: 49ers (-8.5) | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $4.00 |
| 09-26 23:07 | Spread: Arizona (-10.5) | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $4.00 |