0xeef99f02deecc68a2c7281776f622e15e88272ce
0xeef99f02deecc68a2c7281776f622e15e88272ce
- Realised P&L
- $12.97
- Volume
- $250.29
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $9.76
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.590 | 0.855 | $2.26 | +$0.70 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.945 | $2.02 | +$0.46 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.460 | $1.48 | +$0.48 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29? · No | 0.260 | 0.190 | $1.14 | −$0.42 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.710 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6? · Down | 0.440 | 0.425 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.280 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.63at 0.258Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.97at 0.288Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$3.97at 0.288Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$2.30at 0.410Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 02:38 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 18:05 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 10:02 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:51 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:49 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:20 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:56 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:19 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:14 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:06 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:27 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:15 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |