PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xeed534DCc5DB47967Ed834e5c8d7f77f9F796BB8-1775128385310

0xeed534dcc5db47967ed834e5c8d7f77f9f796bb8

Realised P&L
$-30.74
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$91.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17? · Yes0.3901.000$13.99+$8.53
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.5270.658$9.88+$1.97
Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m? · Yes0.7701.000$9.50+$2.18
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD? · Yes0.7280.868$8.68+$1.40
Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m? · Yes0.5800.986$7.89+$3.25
Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? · Yes0.8000.940$7.52+$1.12
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m? · No0.4520.457$6.86+$0.07
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026? · No0.3100.330$6.60+$0.40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8000.949$5.93+$0.93
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17? · Yes0.4500.653$5.23+$1.63
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3600.235$4.24−$2.26
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m? · Yes0.3300.360$2.88+$0.24
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · No0.6130.377$2.26−$1.42
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 17? · No0.5600.013$0.09−$3.83
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No0.7310.000$0.00−$6.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 02:21Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?BUY0.8$6.40
10-17 01:21Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?BUY0.33$2.64
10-17 01:21Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?SELL0.195108$4.88
10-16 14:27Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?BUY0.613$3.68
10-16 12:20Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.714$3.57
10-16 09:20Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?BUY0.45$3.60
10-16 08:26Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17?BUY0.39$5.46
10-16 06:45Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?SELL0.12$6.00
10-16 06:42Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?BUY0.13$6.50
10-16 01:30Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?BUY0.452$6.78
10-15 22:25Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?BUY0.58$4.64
10-15 20:22Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16?BUY0.63$3.15
10-15 17:32Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 17?BUY0.56$3.92
10-15 11:16Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?BUY0.35$1.75
10-15 00:19Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?BUY0.728$7.28