0xeed534DCc5DB47967Ed834e5c8d7f77f9F796BB8-1775128385310
0xeed534dcc5db47967ed834e5c8d7f77f9f796bb8
- Realised P&L
- $-30.74
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $91.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.32at 0.268Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$9.87at 0.419Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12?
- +$7.96at 0.469Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 12?
- +$6.68at 0.522Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 13?
- +$6.28at 0.617Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 02:21 | Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.40 |
| 10-17 01:21 | Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.64 |
| 10-17 01:21 | Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | SELL | 0.195108 | $4.88 |
| 10-16 14:27 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.613 | $3.68 |
| 10-16 12:20 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.714 | $3.57 |
| 10-16 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.45 | $3.60 |
| 10-16 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.46 |
| 10-16 06:45 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? | SELL | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 10-16 06:42 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 10-16 01:30 | Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m? | BUY | 0.452 | $6.78 |
| 10-15 22:25 | Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.64 |
| 10-15 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 10-15 17:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.92 |
| 10-15 11:16 | Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-15 00:19 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD? | BUY | 0.728 | $7.28 |