Andromaque399
0xeea75cd940a8abc193b04ca78be589af3d41d491
- Realised P&L
- $345.64
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 344
- Open portfolio
- $485.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded344
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.37at 0.906Macron out by June 30, 2026?
- +$70.22at 0.795Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
- +$30.33at 0.870Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?
- +$24.03at 0.736Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?
- +$19.80at 0.943Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:47 | Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.937 | $18.74 |
| 09-15 21:28 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 09-14 21:38 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 09-12 10:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 08-29 15:31 | Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 08-27 20:31 | Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 08-26 11:54 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-25 14:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $9.06 |
| 08-24 20:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $14.65 |
| 08-23 10:45 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 08-23 10:45 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 08-22 18:29 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.972 | $24.30 |
| 08-21 08:02 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 08-21 05:11 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.935 | $9.35 |
| 08-20 21:09 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.672 | $3.36 |