Andromaque399
0xeea75cd940a8abc193b04ca78be589af3d41d491
- Realised P&L
- $326.90
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 353
- Open portfolio
- $733.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded353
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.37at 0.906Macron out by June 30, 2026?
- +$70.22at 0.795Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
- +$30.33at 0.870Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?
- +$24.03at 0.736Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?
- +$19.80at 0.943Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 22:16 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $29.22 |
| 10-13 22:37 | Macron out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.938 | $46.90 |
| 10-11 16:55 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.865 | $8.65 |
| 10-10 17:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 10-09 07:43 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 10-09 07:42 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $0.70 |
| 10-09 07:40 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.365 | $1.82 |
| 10-09 07:40 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.367 | $1.83 |
| 10-05 04:34 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.896 | $17.92 |
| 10-04 21:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.817 | $8.17 |
| 09-27 11:35 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.586 | $5.86 |
| 09-26 13:53 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 09-20 18:21 | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 09-20 12:57 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-20 10:18 | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.60 |