0xee6a817ee07a3254c6c6655cc6eafc5b16c8b75c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.84
- Volume
- $172.50
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $11.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.02at 0.677Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.54at 0.657Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
- +$0.39at 0.736Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
- +$0.35at 0.795Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
- +$0.28at 0.783France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.869999958 | $1.45 |
| 09-15 06:31 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.24 |
| 09-11 08:45 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.97 |
| 09-08 09:49 | Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.81 | $1.01 |
| 09-03 20:37 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.22 |
| 09-03 16:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.8399999411 | $1.14 |
| 09-03 16:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.25 |
| 09-02 20:14 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.26 |
| 09-01 10:34 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.984 | $1.23 |
| 08-29 21:47 | Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.05 |
| 08-28 06:25 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.18 |
| 08-26 11:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399995822 | $1.26 |
| 08-21 21:10 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8799999458 | $1.30 |
| 08-17 15:00 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7099995372 | $1.12 |
| 08-12 22:33 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.8199994273 | $1.26 |