0xee6a817ee07a3254c6c6655cc6eafc5b16c8b75c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.65
- Volume
- $141.68
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $12.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.04at 0.670Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.85at 0.700Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$0.77at 0.690Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$0.55at 0.650Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
- +$0.40at 0.730Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:48 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.01 |
| 08-04 19:48 | Will Matt Orlando win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9869999902 | $1.01 |
| 08-04 19:48 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | BUY | 0.8399993802 | $1.03 |
| 08-04 19:48 | Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections? | SELL | 0.965 | $1.04 |
| 08-03 19:44 | Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin? | BUY | 0.9869999918 | $1.45 |
| 08-02 18:27 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? | BUY | 0.7609999707 | $1.09 |
| 08-02 17:41 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.11 |
| 08-02 06:28 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.9399999845 | $1.21 |
| 08-01 13:43 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.958 | $1.10 |
| 07-31 07:03 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9549994747 | $1.10 |
| 07-27 18:13 | Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections? | BUY | 0.9679997124 | $1.05 |
| 07-24 20:10 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | SELL | 0.96 | $1.20 |
| 07-21 05:55 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.9499996008 | $1.19 |
| 07-20 23:26 | Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9499997121 | $1.32 |
| 07-20 08:07 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.9739999961 | $1.49 |