curupirAA
0xedf67cfe47ecbeda70c7025de60ac9a2e61fcf40
- Realised P&L
- $-19.1k
- Volume
- $795.1k
- Markets traded
- 715
- Open portfolio
- $318.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded715
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.526Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
- +$2.6kat 0.320Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
- +$2.3kat 0.300Ankalaev vs. Pereira
- +$1.9kat 0.606Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.370Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 21:50 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | SELL | 0.0211115997 | $9.46 |
| 09-11 21:50 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.66 |
| 09-11 21:50 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | SELL | 0.022 | $2.73 |
| 09-11 21:49 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | SELL | 0.042 | $1.01 |
| 09-11 21:49 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | SELL | 0.05 | $13.39 |
| 09-11 21:48 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.26 |
| 09-10 23:56 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | BUY | 0.27 | $51.84 |
| 09-10 22:51 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | BUY | 0.0589999984 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:51 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:51 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:51 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:51 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 20:23 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.05 |
| 09-08 06:25 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $182.00 |
| 09-06 23:10 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |