PolyBot

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Traders

0xedd8d6976243ad01ac25f2d92280c7cb4f53013b

0xedd8d6976243ad01ac25f2d92280c7cb4f53013b

Realised P&L
$-30.85
Volume
$449.21
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$108.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles · No0.5300.535$19.45+$0.18
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · No0.7780.715$18.10$1.59
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.9410.949$9.05+$0.07
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles · Toronto Blue Jays0.4700.475$8.51+$0.09
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9010.780$5.89$0.92
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · No0.9780.976$3.99$0.01
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · No0.9200.930$3.78+$0.04
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat? · No0.9010.871$3.45$0.12
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat? · No0.1700.175$2.66+$0.08
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on September 23? · Yes0.9510.971$1.97+$0.04
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No0.8800.835$1.79$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 23? · No0.7190.535$1.72$0.59
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? · No0.8890.974$1.59+$0.14
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · No0.2600.255$1.58$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 23? · No0.9700.975$1.58+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 00:46Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?BUY0.9009999844$3.57
09-23 00:21Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?BUY0.439999852$1.07
09-23 00:21Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?BUY0.56$1.40
09-23 00:19Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-01 House election by 25%-30%?BUY0.7799999263$1.27
09-23 00:19Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-01 House election by 20%-25%?BUY0.9109999566$1.49
09-22 23:51Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election?BUY0.7899999326$1.29
09-22 22:27Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 23?BUY0.9809999944$1.59
09-22 22:27Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 23?BUY0.6699998648$1.09
09-22 22:22Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.7776965626$19.68
09-22 22:07Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be less than 40k?BUY0.9679999853$1.58
09-22 21:48Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.92$1.38
09-22 21:48Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9779999973$1.46
09-22 21:48Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9779999969$2.54
09-22 21:48Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9199999844$2.36
09-22 21:40Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.88$1.89