0xJasonSan
0xedc84058541b1ef3586be91fd56860c1de283296
- Realised P&L
- $16.2k
- Volume
- $1.48M
- Markets traded
- 1,921
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,921
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$648.44at 0.130Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
- +$506.92at 0.746High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
- +$409.92at 0.614SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 17?
- +$394.52at 0.451Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 22?
- +$353.42at 0.746Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of July 20 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:32 | Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $30B by December 31? | SELL | 0.786748 | $39.34 |
| 09-16 20:31 | Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $30B by December 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $136.00 |
| 09-16 20:28 | Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.438 | $8.76 |
| 09-16 20:27 | Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.366 | $24.52 |
| 09-16 20:22 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7966913437 | $192.63 |
| 09-16 17:45 | Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $30B by December 31? | BUY | 0.6808100127 | $48.41 |
| 09-16 17:44 | Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $30B by December 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $76.50 |
| 09-16 04:43 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.047 | $4.70 |
| 09-16 04:12 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $2.30 |
| 09-16 01:08 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $875B by September 30? | SELL | 0.89 | $81.88 |
| 09-15 17:17 | Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $30B by December 31? | BUY | 0.205684549 | $140.71 |
| 09-14 15:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.2162857259 | $52.99 |
| 09-14 14:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.0888095624 | $18.65 |
| 09-14 03:57 | Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $230.02 |
| 09-13 21:12 | Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3750379634 | $8.40 |