Daviddu0813
0xed7bf0e1f6a8412ebbc36b7b907df73532ef1ba9
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $92.9k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $31.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$445.17at 0.959Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$319.67at 0.610US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$247.19at 0.890Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$204.55at 0.550US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$156.00at 0.950US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 00:56 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $44.00 |
| 10-14 00:55 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9601235582 | $1.5k |
| 10-14 00:39 | Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | BUY | 0.9563496821 | $300.00 |
| 10-14 00:16 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 00:15 | Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | BUY | 0.9547065083 | $100.00 |
| 10-13 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 10-13 20:26 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18? | BUY | 0.9815379543 | $110.00 |
| 10-13 20:26 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.7099999517 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 20:24 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.0k |
| 10-13 20:22 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999994 | $1.0k |
| 10-13 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.520966424 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 18:55 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8609999895 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 18:42 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 17:00 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $295.20 |
| 10-01 00:15 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $533.00 |