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Traders

FlySwatter

0xed40fd8b5cc32a3df80459b6e2b805d44498085a

Realised P&L
$-82.38
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$9.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.065$4.48−$15.52
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0900.029$1.58−$3.42
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? · Yes0.1700.225$1.35+$0.33
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5000.425$0.85−$0.15
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4500.165$0.82−$1.43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2200.065$0.65−$1.55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2050.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.08
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$3.02
Ebola case in the US by June 30? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$2.60
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$1.60
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$4.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-27 07:15Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0469999781$2.00
06-27 07:15Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0029999985$2.00
06-27 07:14Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1779999964$40.00
06-25 18:08Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.2349999183$2.00
06-19 06:23Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?BUY0.449999955$5.00
06-18 16:04Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5$1.00
06-18 16:01Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.08$2.00
06-18 15:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2049999303$2.00
06-04 07:30Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
06-04 07:30Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
06-04 07:25Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?BUY0.36$3.60
06-04 07:22Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.017$0.85
06-04 07:22Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$1.00
06-04 07:20Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$1.60
06-04 07:20Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.009$1.08
Trader FlySwatter · PolyBot Pro