0xEc5BC015DAc97465E5a5849dbDE91f41A32627EB-1773755258964
0xec5bc015dac97465e5a5849dbde91f41a32627eb
- Realised P&L
- $-19.43
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $201.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.018 | $69.01 | −$30.99 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.140 | $56.02 | −$3.98 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.029 | $17.38 | −$2.62 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? · No | 0.170 | 0.065 | $15.29 | −$24.71 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.011 | $13.13 | −$6.88 |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.163 | 0.185 | $11.32 | +$1.32 |
| Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.140 | $11.06 | −$0.94 |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by September 30? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.055 | $7.90 | −$5.10 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.80at 0.542Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 15:21 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | BUY | 0.0327987557 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 14:42 | Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1634615374 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 10:22 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.0905450113 | $13.00 |
| 09-19 13:57 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.016 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 12:58 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0267302914 | $70.00 |
| 09-19 12:55 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | BUY | 0.1699999997 | $40.00 |
| 09-19 07:33 | Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? | BUY | 0.1518879194 | $12.00 |
| 09-18 15:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0245445453 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 15:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.024979488 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 16:49 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499485174 | $60.00 |
| 09-08 17:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299999961 | $60.00 |
| 03-18 19:51 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |