PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xEc5BC015DAc97465E5a5849dbDE91f41A32627EB-1773755258964

0xec5bc015dac97465e5a5849dbde91f41a32627eb

Realised P&L
$-19.43
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$201.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 15:21Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?BUY0.0327987557$20.00
09-20 14:42Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1634615374$10.00
09-20 10:22Will Saudi airspace be closed by September 30?BUY0.0905450113$13.00
09-19 13:57Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.016$20.00
09-19 12:58Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.0267302914$70.00
09-19 12:55Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?BUY0.1699999997$40.00
09-19 07:33Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?BUY0.1518879194$12.00
09-18 15:45Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.0245445453$20.00
09-18 15:10Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.024979488$10.00
09-17 16:49Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.1499485174$60.00
09-08 17:10Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5299999961$60.00
03-18 19:51Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?BUY0.1099999913$10.00