0xEc4D43d71e4a356f611606B320536daC33B03B11-1763649815205
0xec4d43d71e4a356f611606b320536dac33b03b11
- Realised P&L
- $-213.18
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $378.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.62at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$51.32at 0.584Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$48.82at 0.170Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$34.05at 0.370US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$26.51at 0.430US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 00:31 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 00:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 00:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 08:31 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0739999869 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 14:24 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 03:01 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 03:01 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 23:30 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.078999993 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 15:11 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.044999991 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 12:20 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.0429999921 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 06:34 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.221999983 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 15:06 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 15:04 | US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 15:02 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 01:51 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |