0xec1d07e5379072429caa16bf6efeae71a6e4db17
- Realised P&L
- $256.57
- Volume
- $18.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,421
- Open portfolio
- $182.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,421
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.52at 0.037Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?
- +$20.16at 0.239Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
- +$15.40at 0.255Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
- +$14.95at 0.215Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva
- +$14.89at 0.256Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 04:06 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.56 |
| 09-19 01:20 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | SELL | 0.961 | $0.20 |
| 09-19 00:44 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:44 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:43 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 21:22 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.78 |
| 09-18 21:11 | LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:11 | LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.9099992538 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:11 | LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:10 | LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:10 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:10 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:10 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:31 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:31 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |