PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kumachii

0xec0b8cf9160469dec6182125ceff38ca9d0ac6a3

Realised P&L
$16.09
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$1.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes0.1500.025$0.65−$3.35
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? · Yes0.0630.036$0.57−$0.43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1200.035$0.30−$0.70
US strike on Colombia by March 31? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$1.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$2.00
Maduro mugshot released by January 9? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 17, 2026? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 10, 2026? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26? · No0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-14 00:06Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 17, 2026?BUY0.0824222778$0.93
04-14 00:06Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026?BUY0.0353398183$0.92
04-05 07:51Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 10, 2026?BUY0.16$0.93
04-05 07:51Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 10, 2026?BUY0.089999919$0.93
04-05 07:50Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?BUY0.0630914826$1.00
03-16 03:34Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
03-16 03:33Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0309999705$1.00
03-16 03:33Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.033999968$1.00
03-07 05:19Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 6, 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
02-28 07:43Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
02-28 07:13Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.0279999733$1.00
02-28 07:08Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.02$1.00
02-28 07:07Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.998$2.55
02-28 07:07US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.989$7.91
01-26 02:58Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on January 30, 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00