kumachii
0xec0b8cf9160469dec6182125ceff38ca9d0ac6a3
- Realised P&L
- $16.09
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $1.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.83at 0.083Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on December 19, 2025?
- +$18.81at 0.210Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
- +$5.91at 0.250US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.56at 0.390Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 00:06 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0824222778 | $0.93 |
| 04-14 00:06 | Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0353398183 | $0.92 |
| 04-05 07:51 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.93 |
| 04-05 07:51 | Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $0.93 |
| 04-05 07:50 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0630914826 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 03:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 03:33 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 03:33 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.033999968 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 05:19 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 07:43 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 07:13 | Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0279999733 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 07:08 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 07:07 | Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.55 |
| 02-28 07:07 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $7.91 |
| 01-26 02:58 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |