0xeb74819DF2d71A8Fcf78c98CeBd0b5FD976b0610-1761124129396
0xeb74819df2d71a8fcf78c98cebd0b5fd976b0610
- Realised P&L
- $241.64
- Volume
- $47.6k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $469.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.70at 0.885Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
- +$37.07at 0.990Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
- +$20.44at 0.744Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?
- +$14.08at 0.993Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$10.64at 0.989Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 08:34 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.995 | $8.53 |
| 07-28 15:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.90 |
| 06-03 08:36 | LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 10:59 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 05-29 10:57 | Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 21:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 05-25 08:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 05-21 04:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 05-17 20:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.92 |
| 05-17 10:53 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May? | BUY | 0.887 | $4.43 |
| 05-15 10:59 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $9.76 |
| 05-15 10:52 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $9.92 |
| 05-15 10:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 05-13 09:57 | Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $9.94 |
| 05-08 07:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |