PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xeb74819DF2d71A8Fcf78c98CeBd0b5FD976b0610-1761124129396

0xeb74819df2d71a8fcf78c98cebd0b5fd976b0610

Realised P&L
$241.64
Volume
$47.6k
Markets traded
168
Open portfolio
$469.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded168
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections? · Yes0.9600.960$174.39$0.09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? · No0.9710.994$100.97+$2.26
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No0.9720.995$79.56+$1.77
Will United Russia win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.9590.951$41.22$0.36
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? · No0.9590.968$19.34+$0.17
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · No0.9300.945$13.50+$0.21
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9781.000$9.99+$0.21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9610.957$9.56$0.04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8400.935$9.35+$0.95
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9200.639$6.39$2.81
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? · No0.9300.957$3.70+$0.10
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? · No0.9590.990$1.04+$0.03
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.8890.000$0.00$4.96
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No0.9880.000$0.00$19.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 08:34Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.995$8.53
07-28 15:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.995$19.90
06-03 08:36LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY0.9399999624$1.00
05-29 10:59Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?BUY0.996$99.60
05-29 10:57Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey RublevBUY0.8699999913$1.00
05-27 21:18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?BUY0.999$99.90
05-25 08:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?BUY0.998$99.80
05-21 04:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 18 2026?BUY0.999$9.99
05-17 20:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?BUY0.996$19.92
05-17 10:53Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?BUY0.887$4.43
05-15 10:59Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?BUY0.976$9.76
05-15 10:52Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.992$9.92
05-15 10:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY0.999$99.90
05-13 09:57Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.994$9.94
05-08 07:43Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?BUY0.999$19.98