advancedtrainstationsfanboy
0xeb088675101c51d84b138080739e3cbd32c03afb
- Realised P&L
- $4.53
- Volume
- $547.70
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $110.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.22at 0.711Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
- +$9.68at 0.620Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
- +$4.86at 0.794Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
- +$1.11at 0.900Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
- +$0.64at 0.470Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 03:47 | Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 03:40 | Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 03:38 | Astra removed from public access by October 31? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 03:38 | GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999613 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 03:38 | GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 03:38 | Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 03:32 | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 03:29 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 03:27 | Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 03:21 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 03:19 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 03:00 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 02-24 23:32 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31? | BUY | 0.7105263127 | $30.00 |
| 02-24 23:32 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.63 |
| 02-24 23:32 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $29.67 |