A7fold
0xeaea46a35999a3661ef657031ba5d8e03c1b9995
- Realised P&L
- $-144.48
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 688
- Open portfolio
- $52.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded688
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.33at 0.208Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
- +$38.32at 0.208Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
- +$13.67at 0.818Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?
- +$6.32at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$5.87at 0.630Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 09:14 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 10-07 11:46 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.81 | $60.75 |
| 10-02 13:36 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 10-02 13:32 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 10-02 13:25 | Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 09-29 17:17 | Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.973 | $16.54 |
| 09-29 17:16 | Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.971 | $4.85 |
| 09-29 11:06 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 09-21 05:08 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.993 | $24.82 |
| 09-10 09:13 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-10 09:12 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 09-04 06:14 | Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-04 06:13 | Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30? | BUY | 0.927 | $4.63 |
| 09-04 06:11 | Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 09-04 06:11 | Will Russia enter Moskovka by September 30? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |