Omermen
0xeae40e6c4bdf1bb1126ce4d22a2b0f3246c74b47
- Realised P&L
- $192.67
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $245.83
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.850 | 0.840 | $113.65 | −$1.35 |
| Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.683 | 0.675 | $75.09 | −$0.91 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.845 | $57.09 | +$7.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.60at 0.582Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
- +$35.72at 0.820Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$25.26at 0.377Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$23.09at 0.066Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$15.01at 0.706Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 21:25 | Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 20:24 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $106.89 |
| 09-10 20:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $115.00 |
| 09-10 18:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 17:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.49 |
| 09-10 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 11:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 10:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $10.10 |
| 09-10 10:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 10:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 10:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.49 |
| 09-10 10:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.899999928 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 21:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 16:50 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.998 | $14.89 |