PolyBot

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Traders

EpicFury

0xeacf6268112f4ef50de045c0778426ca20183c55

Realised P&L
$-529.34
Volume
$121.1k
Markets traded
420
Open portfolio
$151.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded420
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1970.147$59.00−$19.80
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? · Yes0.1300.065$32.50−$32.50
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.032$12.80−$23.20
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · Yes0.0700.038$11.55−$9.45
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.0800.021$8.40−$23.60
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0800.040$7.90−$8.10
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.036$7.20−$12.80
Will Venezuela become 51st state? · Yes0.0670.021$5.84−$12.39
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0700.038$5.78−$4.72
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.2700.075$0.73−$1.91
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.1000.001$0.03−$5.91
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · Yes0.2390.000$0.00−$31.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 2? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on July 17, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 18:00Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$36.00
10-18 23:43Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?BUY0.007$1.04
09-19 02:51Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?BUY0.057$1.95
09-13 08:59Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$17.00
09-10 11:04Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.0863067$8.63
09-10 11:03Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.084$3.36
09-10 11:03Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.079$0.38
09-10 11:02Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?BUY0.016$6.40
09-08 11:38Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.042$21.00
08-31 19:55Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026?BUY0.99$86.80
08-31 11:44Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?SELL0.821$8.21
08-31 04:30Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.081$6.49
08-27 09:41Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.08$16.00
08-24 03:51Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026?BUY0.32$6.40
08-24 00:38Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026?BUY0.3181504316$25.80