PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

eduarbot

0xeab8220c73ba502b60ff00a1524367382970db33

Realised P&L
$-22.19
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
149
Open portfolio
$27.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded149
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · No0.9550.994$3.58+$0.14
Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026? · No0.9520.961$3.52+$0.03
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-09 House seat? · No0.9600.962$3.49+$0.01
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9540.961$3.46+$0.03
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat? · No0.9600.960$3.44−$0.00
Will the Republican Party win the OR-03 House seat? · No0.9600.957$3.44−$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 10? · Yes0.9610.888$3.26−$0.27
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.145$1.88−$2.14
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · Yes0.1600.085$1.20−$1.06
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? · No0.9680.000$0.00−$10.09
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco? · No0.9510.000$0.00−$9.83
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$6.30
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.9570.000$0.00−$3.54
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.9600.000$0.00−$10.27
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14? · No0.9550.000$0.00−$2.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 11:12Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 10?BUY0.961$3.53
10-04 00:53Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4?BUY0.957$3.48
10-02 10:13Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026?BUY0.952$3.48
10-01 05:53Will "Cleveland! - Taylor Swift" be the #2 US song this week?BUY0.97$3.48
09-23 14:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 27?BUY0.97$3.47
09-23 13:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 27?BUY0.961$3.49
09-18 19:11Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.952$3.48
09-18 03:11Will the Democratic Party win the MI-09 House seat?BUY0.96$3.48
09-06 14:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 6?BUY0.964$3.45
09-05 21:12Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.97$3.47
09-04 16:46Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 31-September 6?BUY0.963$3.47
09-02 11:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2?BUY0.969$3.46
09-01 21:27Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.964$3.46
08-31 17:57Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 31?BUY0.968$3.46
08-30 14:13Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on August 31?BUY0.968$3.45