beraguess
0xea79e388b22b28d29996547323270f716bd3e4b5
- Realised P&L
- $-11.6k
- Volume
- $426.7k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $45.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.509Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
- +$362.68at 0.873Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in July?
- +$304.96at 0.949Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
- +$268.03at 0.964Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
- +$225.82at 0.945Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 11:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? | BUY | 0.957 | $287.10 |
| 10-01 08:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? | BUY | 0.97 | $291.00 |
| 09-30 16:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.954 | $190.80 |
| 09-30 09:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.954 | $286.20 |
| 09-29 15:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-29 15:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.246 | $4.92 |
| 09-29 12:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.27 | $4.05 |
| 09-29 12:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.50 |
| 09-29 12:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 09-29 12:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $186.00 |
| 09-29 06:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 09-28 20:49 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $172.00 |
| 09-28 16:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $480.00 |
| 09-28 15:52 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9839 | $983.90 |
| 09-27 14:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.961 | $96.10 |