PolyBot

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Traders

beraguess

0xea79e388b22b28d29996547323270f716bd3e4b5

Realised P&L
$-11.6k
Volume
$426.7k
Markets traded
227
Open portfolio
$45.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded227
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.973$5.6k+$587.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8320.967$5.1k+$715.31
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9480.925$4.6k−$115.00
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9070.972$4.1k+$270.30
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9160.975$3.9k+$234.77
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9030.976$3.0k+$223.98
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8520.935$2.4k+$212.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9220.954$2.3k+$74.30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9490.955$1.6k+$9.76
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.982$1.6k+$34.80
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9440.922$1.4k−$34.04
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.9530.931$1.4k−$33.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.6280.865$1.1k+$307.80
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8940.845$1.1k−$64.22
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.905$905.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 11:54Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?BUY0.957$287.10
10-01 08:54Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?BUY0.97$291.00
09-30 16:58Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.954$190.80
09-30 09:32Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.954$286.20
09-29 15:53Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.2$4.00
09-29 15:52Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.246$4.92
09-29 12:56Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?BUY0.27$4.05
09-29 12:55Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$4.50
09-29 12:54Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.27$5.40
09-29 12:42Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$186.00
09-29 06:19Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?BUY0.3$6.00
09-28 20:49NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.86$172.00
09-28 16:01Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$480.00
09-28 15:52Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?BUY0.9839$983.90
09-27 14:36Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?BUY0.961$96.10