oxEA405Cc8b16aBdD29023FeB5ba626189815A86b9
0xea405cc8b16abdd29023feb5ba626189815a86b9
- Realised P&L
- $-104.70
- Volume
- $18.0k
- Markets traded
- 258
- Open portfolio
- $570.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded258
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.85at 0.908Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.02at 0.159Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$4.65at 0.650Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?
- +$3.88at 0.939NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$3.77at 0.679Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:22 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $10.49 |
| 10-29 07:12 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.79 |
| 10-19 12:20 | Will Qatar join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.57 |
| 10-16 00:49 | Will Yemen join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.21 |
| 10-11 14:31 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $0.50 |
| 10-09 10:25 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.37 |
| 10-06 11:34 | Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.89 |
| 10-04 01:08 | Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.91 |
| 10-04 01:07 | Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.40 |
| 10-02 17:59 | Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.84 |
| 10-02 16:42 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999851 | $1.05 |
| 10-02 00:52 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999956 | $1.10 |
| 10-01 22:49 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $0.74 |
| 10-01 22:32 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.10 |
| 10-01 22:27 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.60 |