0xe950C1120BcB0802583a316f9f8bd91f6aa21659-1767575150131
0xe950c1120bcb0802583a316f9f8bd91f6aa21659
- Realised P&L
- $-433.90
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $143.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.054Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$57.25at 0.639SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
- +$24.84at 0.446Will Google say "Gemini Live" during earnings call?
- +$23.18at 0.826Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of April 27 2026?
- +$13.40at 0.330Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 10:27 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $20.00 |
| 10-26 10:26 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | BUY | 0.0780889611 | $6.00 |
| 10-26 10:25 | US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? | BUY | 0.0811395597 | $6.00 |
| 10-26 10:21 | Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | BUY | 0.2603538882 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 10:20 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6939999953 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 10:20 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0079991553 | $5.00 |
| 06-07 21:41 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.0344653699 | $10.00 |
| 06-07 21:40 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.4431751018 | $100.00 |
| 06-07 21:39 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 06-07 21:26 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $100.00 |
| 06-07 21:26 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $100.00 |
| 06-07 21:25 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 21:24 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 21:22 | Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | BUY | 0.2778439154 | $10.00 |
| 04-26 01:12 | Will Google say "Gemini Live" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4460176255 | $20.00 |