kcl666
0xe94746d66f81c386023fbaed74c178dba7e3f127
- Realised P&L
- $1.08
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $5.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.14at 0.019Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
- +$27.98at 0.321Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?
- +$13.36at 0.331Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31?
- +$7.74at 0.612Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?
- +$7.10at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 10-17 13:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 10-14 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 10-14 01:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 10-14 01:09 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 10-07 15:46 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 09-22 11:14 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 09-20 13:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 09-19 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.20 |
| 09-18 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.275 | $2.75 |
| 09-17 14:20 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 09-17 14:19 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 09-11 16:13 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 09-11 15:34 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 09-11 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |