PolyBot

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Traders

kcl666

0xe94746d66f81c386023fbaed74c178dba7e3f127

Realised P&L
$1.08
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$5.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 21? · Yes0.5400.555$5.55+$0.15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$6.40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$2.80
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$13.80
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 2? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.70
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 6? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$0.91
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$2.70
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 18? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$3.10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.80
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$3.80
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 29? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$3.78
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$2.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 01:47Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 21?BUY0.54$5.40
10-17 13:27Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 18?BUY0.31$3.10
10-14 23:58Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?BUY0.53$5.30
10-14 01:12Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 15?BUY0.13$1.30
10-14 01:09Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.11$1.10
10-07 15:46Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.04$1.20
09-22 11:14Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.36$3.60
09-20 13:28Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?BUY0.55$5.50
09-19 14:18Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.03$1.20
09-18 16:09Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.275$2.75
09-17 14:20Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.26$2.60
09-17 14:19Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.46$4.60
09-11 16:13Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.18$1.80
09-11 15:34Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.07$3.50
09-11 13:02Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 12?BUY0.11$0.55