0xe8c2a1bc5fa99d611f83ed0f1e61ad8ea0f3fadf
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 0
- Open portfolio
- $37.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded0
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.402 | $28.11 | +$21.15 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.332 | 0.337 | $5.05 | +$0.07 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.165 | $2.49 | +$1.49 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.880 | 1.000 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.242 | 0.157 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.036 | $0.14 | −$0.94 |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.029 | $0.13 | −$0.87 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |