PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE8b683B92e6C160211Edee54Bc9B246737bB10Cc-1772140983103

0xe8b683b92e6c160211edee54bc9b246737bb10cc

Realised P&L
$-365.62
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
344
Open portfolio
$30.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded344
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7300.765$10.48+$0.48
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4900.595$6.07+$1.07
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0470.026$2.82$2.18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1870.080$2.13$2.87
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 · Yes0.1300.235$1.81+$0.81
UK Recession in 2026? · Yes0.4600.105$1.63$5.50
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1680.049$1.44$3.56
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $3,0000.5700.675$1.18+$0.18
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2200.185$0.84$0.16
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? · Yes0.3200.190$0.59$0.41
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3400.095$0.56$1.44
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? · Yes0.2700.125$0.46$0.54
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.2800.085$0.30$0.70
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2600.065$0.25$0.75
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1900.033$0.17$0.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-27 14:31UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.8099999854$10.00
05-09 12:10Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
05-09 12:09Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.5092592517$5.00
05-09 12:09Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.25$5.00
05-09 12:09Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.25$5.00
05-09 12:09Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.289999964$5.00
05-09 12:09Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
05-09 12:08Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
05-09 12:08Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.2403846154$5.00
05-09 12:08Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.272727238$5.00
05-09 12:07Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.125$5.00
05-09 12:07Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.4699999887$5.00
05-05 06:33Will Trump post "Paper tiger" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.6499999675$5.00
05-01 12:27Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?BUY0.742574256$10.00
05-01 12:27Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?BUY0.6$10.00