PolyBot

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Traders

0xe7d3cf4fba94df9751f61897ebad232f3df9f638

0xe7d3cf4fba94df9751f61897ebad232f3df9f638

Realised P&L
$-32.07
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$68.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6000.595$48.58−$0.41
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? · Yes0.9060.887$9.70−$0.21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7700.825$7.46+$0.50
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0700.045$1.30−$0.70
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0460.024$1.05−$0.95
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0910.028$0.30−$0.70
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? · Yes0.1000.022$0.23−$0.78
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.003$0.19−$0.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 07:19Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?BUY0.9059999927$9.91
10-10 09:21Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?BUY0.6$48.99
07-26 07:50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7699999779$6.96
05-14 11:11Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.6299998929$4.94
03-10 15:18Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?SELL0.0037835026$0.15
03-05 19:49Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.966999953$5.00
02-28 19:03Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.85$2.00
02-18 18:24US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?BUY0.9459997742$3.00
02-16 12:46Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?BUY0.024765471$1.00
02-16 12:46Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.0789999325$1.00
02-16 12:43Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0909999255$1.00
02-16 12:41Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?BUY0.1$1.00
02-16 12:36Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0129999873$1.00
02-16 12:34Artemis II booster rupture?BUY0.1091247239$1.00
02-16 12:29Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0699999688$2.00