sdhush
0xe7b8f8f8ffb78e495a45cfc36f1167366174c60a
- Realised P&L
- $-8.28
- Volume
- $48.9k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $37.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.02at 0.990Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$1.16at 0.013Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.01at 0.992Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$0.99at 0.010Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.85at 0.540 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:07 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 09:07 | Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 09:06 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:05 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.9199995952 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 09:05 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:04 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:04 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.819 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 12:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $4.88 |
| 08-26 12:42 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.87 | $2.00 |
| 08-26 12:42 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9509998737 | $6.00 |
| 08-26 12:42 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $3.00 |
| 08-26 12:42 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.9829999975 | $6.00 |
| 08-26 12:41 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 12:41 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099994391 | $1.00 |