flykick1260
0xe75768e14f38ad6fd8c10035c5ad888842f9c161
- Realised P&L
- $-7.9k
- Volume
- $451.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,152
- Open portfolio
- $13.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,152
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.007 | $11.80 | −$30.18 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.006 | $0.70 | −$19.30 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.002 | $0.33 | −$19.67 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.004 | $0.33 | −$9.67 |
| Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 England? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$91.71 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.215UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$1.3kat 0.472Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- +$1.0kat 0.409Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
- +$869.77at 0.547Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5
- +$845.16at 0.433Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 18:57 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.0249014056 | $41.98 |
| 07-11 20:03 | Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.05 | $91.71 |
| 07-11 20:02 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.1202437223 | $94.29 |
| 07-06 15:45 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.013 | $5.91 |
| 06-25 20:51 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.4419999993 | $333.23 |
| 05-15 20:00 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 05-15 19:56 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? | BUY | 0.15 | $270.00 |
| 05-11 18:44 | Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11? | BUY | 0.53 | $511.82 |
| 05-11 18:35 | Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11? | BUY | 0.53 | $214.35 |
| 05-10 22:04 | Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $525.27 |
| 05-10 16:50 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.59 | $178.19 |
| 05-10 03:53 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2099999995 | $289.93 |
| 05-10 03:53 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2099999981 | $73.00 |
| 05-10 03:52 | UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $371.61 |
| 05-08 23:47 | Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.0599999991 | $60.17 |