tomtom168
0xe72830791cbf30f6d30e8fc7db83553e6be18860
- Realised P&L
- $-151.89
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 320
- Open portfolio
- $127.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded320
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phan Thiet 4: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Ilia Simakin · Ilia Simakin | 0.570 | 1.000 | $17.54 | +$7.54 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20? · Yes | 0.997 | 1.000 | $12.03 | +$0.03 |
| Korea Open, Qualification: Miho Kuramochi vs Xinxin Yao · Xinxin Yao | 0.880 | 1.000 | $11.36 | +$1.36 |
| South Dakota vs. Boise State · Boise State | 0.923 | 1.000 | $10.83 | +$0.83 |
| Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Washington Nationals | 0.430 | 0.455 | $10.58 | +$0.58 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.500 | 0.515 | $10.30 | +$0.30 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies · Seattle Mariners | 0.590 | 0.595 | $10.08 | +$0.08 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.580 | 0.575 | $9.91 | −$0.09 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels · Minnesota Twins | 0.530 | 0.515 | $9.72 | −$0.28 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros · Atlanta Braves | 0.450 | 0.415 | $9.22 | −$0.78 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.450 | 0.395 | $8.78 | −$1.22 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.175 | $4.90 | −$2.10 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.043 | $2.13 | −$2.88 |
| LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C · GAM Esports | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Stars vs. Penguins · Penguins | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.91at 0.220LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals
- +$51.63at 0.436Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$40.76at 0.340Lakers vs. Heat
- +$38.43at 0.347Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$33.40at 0.545LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-In
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 04:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.00 |
| 09-20 04:28 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 04:28 | Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 04:28 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 04:28 | Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 04:28 | Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 04:28 | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 04:28 | Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 04:27 | Korea Open, Qualification: Miho Kuramochi vs Xinxin Yao | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 04:27 | Phan Thiet 4: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Ilia Simakin | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 04:27 | South Dakota vs. Boise State | BUY | 0.9229999946 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 04:26 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 02:47 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek | BUY | 0.829999988 | $6.21 |
| 08-20 02:46 | Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19? | BUY | 0.569999961 | $6.00 |
| 08-20 02:46 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9689999914 | $20.00 |