e322
0xe7093c9bde3c74f06fabd65387450c8fa3169d39
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $583.4k
- Markets traded
- 215
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded215
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.370Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
- +$2.2kat 0.725Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.721Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$1.2kat 0.373Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?
- +$1.1kat 0.543First enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:20 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.09 |
| 09-16 16:31 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 09-16 16:09 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 09-16 14:58 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 09-16 14:50 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 09-15 19:54 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 09-14 20:22 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-14 07:35 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.08 | $9.60 |
| 09-13 20:48 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-13 19:46 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.28 | $23.80 |
| 09-13 18:06 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.911081198 | $84.27 |
| 09-13 18:02 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 09-11 05:39 | Macron out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9589166667 | $115.07 |
| 09-11 05:04 | Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 09-11 04:58 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $37.59 |