PolyBot

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Traders

Palmfrog

0xe6ed4c630dfa0380cf9add8a2c44fa34832007ea

Realised P&L
$15.2k
Volume
$356.3k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$23.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 05:52Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.2255825$135.35
09-01 05:38Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.266904253$181.05
08-15 12:07Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0939999995$150.00
07-27 10:09Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.089$178.00
07-16 23:57Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.079$79.00
07-16 23:55Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.078975$78.98
07-16 23:52Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.9460694133$1.4k
05-04 10:05Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.044$9.42
05-04 10:03Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.044$23.54
05-04 10:01Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.2616278146$520.20
02-04 23:47Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.83$622.50
02-04 23:46Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.83$1.7k
02-04 23:45Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.69$172.50
02-04 23:42Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0296524329$36.44
01-30 21:36Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.724511625$579.61