Palmfrog
0xe6ed4c630dfa0380cf9add8a2c44fa34832007ea
- Realised P&L
- $14.6k
- Volume
- $392.3k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $33.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.3kat 0.497Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
- +$3.9kat 0.645Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
- +$1.6kat 0.901Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.934Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$1.2kat 0.879Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 12:06 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $200.00 |
| 10-28 07:33 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999781 | $11.02 |
| 10-28 07:32 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $250.00 |
| 10-26 19:49 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.094 | $43.52 |
| 10-26 13:11 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $500.00 |
| 10-26 13:11 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 13:10 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 13:10 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999983 | $250.00 |
| 10-26 07:27 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999948 | $51.90 |
| 10-25 22:56 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999997 | $250.00 |
| 10-25 22:55 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6856731282 | $250.00 |
| 10-25 22:55 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9298140372 | $1.0k |
| 10-25 22:43 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $250.00 |
| 10-25 22:42 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999997 | $250.00 |
| 10-25 22:40 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999997 | $500.00 |