0xe6e7881e73882adf73779929abe25a9ac65181a9
0xe6e7881e73882adf73779929abe25a9ac65181a9
- Realised P&L
- $-14.06
- Volume
- $498.28
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $6.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.575 | $1.69 | +$0.69 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.325 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.295 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.651 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.145 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $187 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.245 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.055 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$5.78at 0.278Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?
- +$5.51at 0.351Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$4.81at 0.679Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$4.67at 0.300US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 21:34 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $187 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:59 | Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 10:55 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 21:24 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 11:54 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:29 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 18:08 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:31 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 01:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 01:23 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 2? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 17:08 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 09:07 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September? | BUY | 0.69899987 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 01:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 16:43 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |